What is 3G / 4G and the Auction Process?
Pakistan’s Telecom industry is undergoing its most crucial time since the
deregulation of the telecom industry back in 2004. Amid spectrum auction of 3G
and 4G licenses, there have been serious confusions – particularly amongst the
media – which is not only causing serious damage to the people of Pakistan but
to our economy as well.
Through this post we will try to help you understand 3G, 4G and the whole
auction process, in plain simple language.
3G / 4G Process |
What is 3G / 4G?
For an easy understanding, 3G and 4G are wireless technologies that enable
mobile phone users to get high-speed internet on their cellular devices.
Practically speaking, 3G technology allows operators to offer wireless
broadband speeds of 512Kbps to 2Mbps, while with 4G technology, operators can
offer from 2Mbps to 10-15Mbps internet speeds. (P.S. Theoretical speeds for 3G
and 4G are different to what are mentioned here)
Internet’s speed with 3G and 4G depends on your distance from the cell site
and number of users connected with the particular cell site. The nearer you are
from the cell site, the higher the speed and vice versa. Similarly lesser
number of users on a cell site means higher speeds and vice versa.
So basically its just the addition of wireless broadband services that we
will get with 3G and 4G. However, with this broadband on mobile phones the
entire echo system is going to get reshaped.
For example, you will be able to enjoy Video calling through Skype or other
similar apps, browse websites on the go, make financial transactions online,
collaborate with colleagues, and so on.
A practical example is about shooting a video with your smartphone and then
sending it to your news-room instantly. The whole process will require just a
phone and a 3G/4G connection and you are all set to report for virtually
anything – that too without the high-tech TV Van with VSAT connectivity and
all.
Basic Information
In order to offer 3G and 4G services operator needs a spectrum. The
Government of Pakistan decided to auction this required spectrum from 2100Mhz
and 1800Mhz bands for 3G and 4G services respectively.
If you aren’t familiar with the term spectrum then please click on
this link to know what spectrum means and how it is used for telecom
services.
Spectrum is a limited resource, i.e. its not unlimited and hence it is
considered a valuable national asset. Spectrum is always auctioned through
bidding, unlike LDI or Local Loop licenses, just because a government can sell any number of LL licenses (because you don’t need any
limited resource for LDI or LL); however this is not the case with
spectrum.
Therefore, we will have this auction for spectrum taking place for 2100 and
1800Mhz bands.
Operators were invited to bid for the said spectrum through which they will
be able to offer wireless broadband services.
Available Lots
Government of Pakistan allocated 30Mhz from 2100Mhz band for 3G licenses
while 20Mhz from 1800Mhz for 4G licenses. This allocated spectrum from both
bands is then divided into Lots that are put on sale through auction.
Lot details are as following:
- Lot A:
- One 3G spectrum of 10 MHz from 2100Mhz
- One 4G spectrum of 10 MHz from 1800Mhz
- Lot B:
- One 3G spectrum of 10 MHz from 2100Mhz
- One 4G spectrum of 10 MHz from 1800Mhz
- Lot C:
- One 3G spectrum of 5MHz from 2100Mhz Band
- Lot D:
- One 3G spectrum of 5MHz from 2100Mhz Band
Base Price
- Base price for 10Mhz block from 2100Mhz is US 295 million
- Base price for 10Mhz block from 1800Mhz is US 210 million
Auction Process
Above mentioned lots will be auctioned separately, hence, operators were
asked to show their interests for the Lots mentioned above.
Here are the rules for bidding:
- Operators must show interest in at least 10Mhz for both 3G and 4G spectrum
- Operators can not show interest in more than 15Mhz for 3G spectrum and 10Mhz for 4G spectrum
- All lots are to be bought in a bundle. For example Lot A comprises of 10Mhz for 3G and 10Mhz for 4G spectrum, and hence the base price for Lot A would be US 505 Millions (base price of 10Mhz of 3G plus the base price of 10Mhz of 4G spectrum).
With these rules in place, let’s assume few possible bids that operators
might have placed:
Not to forget, there would be two rounds of auction. In first round – on April 14th, 2014 – operators showed their interest in the blocks
they are desiring to buy. Now, since the demand for spectrum is more
than the supply hence there will be a second round of bidding on April
23rd where operator will bid for their desired Lots to win the spectrum.
Possible Scenarios
During first round operators submitted bids for their desired Lots.
While at this point in time we don’t know the amount and kind of lots
that operators have shown interest in, so we are just assuming few
possible scenarios to help you understand the process.
(P.S. PTA will publicly announce the bidders and their interest on April 17th, 2014, i.e. tomorrow)
Let’s assume that Operator A has shown interest in Lot A and Lot C.
While Operator B has submitted its bid for Lot A. Operator C has shown
interest in Lot B, C and D. Operator D has shown interest in Lot C and
D.
Check below table for understanding:
Lot A | Lot B | Lot C | Lot D | |
Operator A | X | x | ||
Operator B | x | |||
Operator C | x | x | x | |
Operator D | x | x |
If you notice, in this assumption no operator has exceeded the cap of
15Mhz in 3G and 10Mhz of 4G spectrum. Similarly, every operator in this
example has shown interest for at least 10Mhz of 3G spectrum.
In this scenario,
- Lot B will be granted to Operator C without bidding since no one has showed interest in Lot B.
- For Lot A there will be a bidding between operator A and Operator B
- For Lot C there will be a bidding amongst Operator A, Operator C and Operator D
- For Lot D there will be a bidding between Operator C and Operator D
After first round, bidding will proceed with the second round with below possible situations:
During second round of bidding, operators will bid against the Lots
they have shown interest (given the demand is more than the supply).
Operators can only bid with 3% increment in value or more. Highest
bidder will be assigned the spectrum.
Let’s assume following situation:
- Operator C secures Lot B – since there was no competition.
- Operator A submits highest bid for Lot C and wins it, while it withdraws from other lots
- Operator B submits highest bid for Lot B and wins it
- Operator D submits highest bid for Lot D and wins it.
Outcome:
- Operator A Wins 5Mhz for 3G
- Operator B Wins 10Mhz for 3G and 10Mhz for 4G
- Operator C Wins 10Mhz for 3G and 10Mhz for 4G
- Operator D wins 5Mhz for 3G
Just to note, operators can not bid for less than 10Mhz block for 3G, however, after biding they might win just 5Mhz block.
Check below another possible Scenario:
Lot A | Lot B | Lot C | Lot D | |
Operator A | X | x | ||
Operator B | x | x | ||
operator C | x | x | x | |
Operator D | x | x | x |
In this scenario, almost every Lot has competition and hence every lot will be sold through bidding.
Another Possible Scenario in First Round can be as following:
Lot A | Lot B | Lot C | Lot D | |
Operator A | X | x | ||
Operator B | x | x | ||
operator C | x | x | ||
Operator D | x | x |
In this scenario, Lot B will remain unsold since no one has shown
interest in it. However, Lot C and Lot D have a lot of competition and
may generate significantly higher value of money than the base price.
Please note: This illustration was for understanding only and has
been kept very simple without involving any technical terms. For
complete understanding you may consult Information Memorandum for 3G and
4G licenses available on PTA’s website.
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